Equation Developed That Can Predict NCAA Winner - Valley News Live - KVLY/KXJB - Fargo/Grand Forks

Equation Developed That Can Predict NCAA Winner

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It's an equation developed by the NDSU Statistics Department that can predict the game winner in this years NCAA Tournament. The Equation below can help you determine a winner while the game is being played.

Rhonda Megal, Chair of the Statistics Department at NDSU, along with grad student, Sam Unruh, put together the equation and analyzed over 300 NCAA games throughout the season.

Based on their equation along with some other factors throughout the season including teams strength of schedule. They were also Able to complete a full bracket determining Duke the winner of this years NCAA tournament.

Megal and Unruh's final four are comprised of Duke Vs. New Mexico and Florida Vs. Miami. With a Championship game taking place between Duke and Miami.

The equation is only 75% accurate but Unruh has predicted the champion in previous years even correctly chose all final four teams in the past.


Y=   0.062 (Difference in Free Throw Attempts)

        + 1.49 (Difference in Defensive Rebounds)

        +0.59 (Difference in Assists)

-1.60 (Difference in Turnovers Committed)

 Above Differences all calculated in terms of

Team A – Team B

If Y> 0 then Team A should win

If Y< 0 then Team B should win

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