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Poll - Valley News Live - KVLY/KXJB - Fargo/Grand Forks

Valley News Live / Mason-Dixon Poll

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QUESTION: Measure 4 on the November ballot would prohibit smoking, including the use of
electronic smoking devices, in public places and most places of employment in the state,
including certain outdoor areas.  If the election were held today, would you vote:

– “YES” to approve the measure
– “NO” to reject the measure

 
  “YES" “NO” UNDECIDED
STATE 62% 35% 3%
       
REGION      
Fargo/Cass County 69% 29% 2%
Eastern North Dakota 60%  36% 4%
Bismarck/Mandan 63% 34% 3%
Western North Dakota 58%  39% 3%
       
SEX      
Men 58% 40% 2%
Women 67% 29% 4%
       
PARTY ID      
Democrat 63% 34% 3%
Republican 66% 31% 3%
Independent 57% 39% 4%

 

QUESTION: Measure 5 on the November ballot would make it a Class C felony for any individual
to maliciously and intentionally harm a living dog, cat or horse.  The measure would not apply to
production agriculture, the lawful activities of hunters and trappers, licensed veterinarians,
scientific researchers or to individuals engaged in lawful defense of law or property. 
If the election were held today, would you vote:

– “YES” to approve the measure
– “NO” to reject the measure

 

  “YES” “NO”  UNDECIDED
STATE 66% 27% 7%
       
REGION      
Fargo/Cass County   68% 26% 6%
Eastern North Dakota   65% 27% 8%
Bismarck/Mandan 65% 29% 6%
Western North Dakota      66% 27% 7%
       
SEX      
Men 61% 35% 4%
Women 72% 19% 9%
       
PARTY ID      
Democrat 81% 13% 6%
Republican 59% 34% 7%
Independent 61% 32% 7%

How the poll was conducted

How the poll was conducted

 

 

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Jacksonville,
Florida from October 3 through October 5, 2012. A total of 625 adults were interviewed statewide
by telephone.  All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.

 

Those interviewed were randomly selected from a phone-matched list of North Dakota adult residents
that included both land-line and cell phone numbers.  Quotas were assigned to reflect voter
turn-out by county.

 

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than ±4%. 
This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range
if all voters were surveyed.  The margin for error is higher for any subgroup,
such as a gender or party grouping.

 

 

QUESTION: If the 2012 general election for governor and lieutenant governor were held today,
which one of the following tickets would get your vote?

 -The Democratic ticket of Ryan Taylor & Ellen Chaffee

 -The Republican ticket of Jack Dalrymple & Drew Wrigley

 -The independent ticket of Paul Sorum & Michael Coachman

 -The independent ticket of Roland Riemers & Anthony Johns
         
  TAYLOR DALRYMPLE OTHER UNDECIDED
STATE 24% 62% 1% 13%
         
REGION        
Fargo/Cass County 23% 60% - 17%
Eastern North Dakota 27% 58% 2% 13%
Bismarck/Mandan 23% 66% 1% 10%
Western North Dakota 23% 65% - 12%
         
SEX        
Men 20% 66% 1% 13%
Women 28% 59% - 13%
         
PARTY ID        
Democrat 66% 22% - 12%
Republican 3% 94% - -
Independent 23% 61% 3% 13%

QUESTION: If the 2012 election for State Treasurer were held today, would you vote for Ross Mushik,
the Democrat, or Kelly Schmidt, the Republican?

             
  STATE MEN WOMEN DEMS REPS INDS
SCMIDT 47% 52% 43% 9% 81% 43%
MUSHIIK 24% 19% 28% 47% 4% 25%
UNDECIDED 29% 29% 29% 44% 15% 32%

 

QUESTION: If the 2012 election for State Auditor were held today, would you vote for Scot Kelsh,
the Democrat, or Bob Peterson, the Republican?

             
  STATE MEN WOMEN DEMS REPS INDS
PETERSON 50% 56% 45% 9% 87% 46%
KELSH 30% 26% 33% 72% 3% 25%
UNDECIDED 20% 18% 22% 19% 10% 29%

 

QUESTION: If the 2012 election for Insurance Commissioner were held today, would you vote for
Tom Potter, the Democrat, or Adam Hamm, the Republican?

             
  STATE MEN WOMEN DEMS REPS INDS
HAMM 57% 62% 53% 16% 87% 59%
POTTER 30% 27% 33% 72% 4% 23%
UNDECIDED 13% 11% 14% 12% 9% 18%

 

QUESTION: If the 2012 election in the non-partisan race for Superintendent of Public Instruction
were held today, would you vote for: (ORDER ROTATED)

- Kirsten Baesler      

- Tracy Potter
             
  STATE MEN WOMEN DEMS REPS INDS
POTTER 40% 34% 45% 44% 34% 44%
BAESLER 30% 32% 28% 19% 39% 29%
UNDECIDED 30% 34% 27% 37% 27% 27%

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How the poll was conducted 

 

A total of 625 adults were interviewed statewide by telephone.  All stated they were likely to vote
in the November general election.  Those interviewed were randomly selected from a phone-matched
list of North Dakota adult residents that included both land-line and cell phone numbers. 
The margin for error, is no more than ±4%. 

 

STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION

         
  RECOGNIZE  RECOGNIZE  RECOGNIZE  DON'T
  FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL RECOGNIZE 
         
PRESIDENT        
Mitt Romney   47% 23% 30% -
Barack Obama  36% 51% 13%  -
         

SENATE

       
Heidi Heitkamp  46% 35%  18%  1%
Rick Berg  42%  37% 20%  1%
         

HOUSE

       
Kevin Cramer  40% 19% 35%   6% 
Pam Gulleson 27% 17% 37%  19%

   

 

              

QUESTION: If the 2012 general election for president and vice president were held today,
which one of the following tickets would get your vote? 

 - The Democratic ticket of Barack Obama & Joe Biden

 - The Republican ticket of Mitt Romney & Paul Ryan

 – The Libertarian ticket of Gary Johnson & Jim Gray

 – One of the other party tickets 

  OBAMA  ROMNEY OTHER UNDECIDED
STATE 40% 54% 1%

5%

         
REGION        
Fargo/Cass County 44% 50% - 6%
Eastern North Dakota 47% 47%  2% 4%
Bismarck/Mandan 35%  58% 1% 6%
Western North Dakota 33%  61% 1% 5%
         
SEX        
Men 38% 56% 1% 5%
Women 41% 53%  1% 5%
         
PARTY ID        
Democrat 92% 4% - 4%
Republican 3% 96% - 1%
Independent 37% 52% 3%  8%

 

  

 

QUESTION: If the 2012 election for North Dakota’s U.S. Senate seat were held today,
would you vote for Heidi Heitkamp, the Democrat, or Rick Berg, the Republican?

 

  HEITKAMP  BERG UNDECIDED
STATE   47% 47%  6%
       
REGION      
Fargo/Cass County 50% 41% 9%
Eastern North Dakota 55% 40% 5%
Bismarck/Mandan 38% 58% 4%
Western North Dakota 43% 53% 4%
       
SEX      
Men 42% 51%  7%
Women  51% 44% 5%
       
PARTY ID      
Democrat 96% 1% 3%
Republican 8% 87% 5%
Independent 48% 43% 9%

 

 

 

QUESTION: If the 2012 election for North Dakota’s U.S. House seat were held today,
would you vote for:

 

Pam Gulleson – Democrat     

Kevin Cramer – Republican   

Eric Olsen – Libertarian

 

   GULLESON CRAMER OLSEN UNDECIDED
STATE 37% 49% 2% 12%
         
REGION        
Fargo/Cass County 44% 43% 1% 12%
Eastern North Dakota 38% 47%  2% 13%
Bismarck/Mandan  38% 52% 2% 8%
Western North Dakota 30% 54% 3% 13%
         
SEX        
Men  34% 52% 4% 10%
Women 40% 45% 1% 14%
         
PARTY ID        
Democrat 79% 9%  1% 11%
Republican 5% 85% 1% 9%
Independent 37% 45% 5% 13%

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