ND House Race: Poll Shows Cramer Lead - Valley News Live - KVLY/KXJB - Fargo/Grand Forks

A Valley News Live/KFYR-TV Poll show Republican Kevin Cramer is the front-runner in the race to replace Rick Berg in the US House of Representatives. 

Our poll, conducted less than a week before Tuesday's North Dakota primary indicates Cramer leads his GOP primary opponent Brian Kalk by 60%-21% and also holds a comfortable 49%-35% advantage over Democrat Pam Gulleson in the general election race.

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY QUESTION 

QUESTION: If the 2012 Republican primary for North Dakota's U.S. House seat were held today, would you vote for Kevin Cramer or Brian Kalk?

                     CRAMER         60%      

KALK          21%      

UNDECIDED   19%

RESPONSE FROM KALK CAMPAIGN

NOVEMBER MATCHUP QUESTION 

QUESTION: If the 2012 election for North Dakota's U.S. House seat were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were:

               Pam Gulleson – Democrat     

              Kevin Cramer – Republican   

              Eric Olsen – Libertarian         

                        GULLESON    CRAMER    OLSEN    UNDECIDED

 STATE                      35%         49%        4%        12%

REGION                  GULLESON    CRAMER    OLSEN    UNDECIDED

Fargo/Cass County          38%        45%       5%        12%

Eastern North Dakota      41%        45%       2%        12%

Bismarck/Mandan             35%        53%       3%         9%

Western North Dakota     26%      55%       5%        14%

RESPONSE FROM GULLESON CAMPAIGN

Two separate voter samples were used to conduct the primary poll and November match up. The poll was conducted by the Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. from June 4 through June 6, 2012. A total of 625 likely voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. 

Those interviewed were randomly selected from a phone-matched list of North Dakota adult residents that included both land-line and cell phone numbers.  Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

 The margin for error is ±4%.  

This survey also included an over-sampling of 500 likely Republican primary voters.  The additional voters that were surveyed to complete this poll were only asked the questions that were relative to the GOP primary races – not the general election contests.  The margin for error on the Republican primary results is ±4.5%.